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United States & Regional Forecast

United States And Regional Macro Forecast

The pandemic-induced disruption has challenged long-held investment standards, presenting investors with a unique investment landscape and the potential to recalibrate strategies and portfolios.

Pre-Crisis Profits Near Record

Corporate Cash on Hand Historically High

Money Supply Gets Big Boost

Government Stimulus Response

Compelling Returns Attract Capital

Steady commercial yields and minimal interest rates will preserve and perhaps enhance commercial real estate’s appeal when weighed against other investment options. Moving forward, borrowers are likely to take advantage of low commercial mortgage rates to acquire properties that are generating comparatively high return potential in the current environment.

After declining more than 20 percent in 2020, domestic leisure travel is anticipated to recover by the end of 2022. As more vaccines become available through the first half of this year, individuals and families will take vacations with greater frequency. Based on last summer’s behavior, these trips will likely be taken more by road and to affordable destinations with outdoor amenities, including beaches and national parks.

Domestic Leisure Travel Restoration Expected Within Two Years

Many of these metros were also less impacted by the health crisis and more lenient on businesses, drawing visitors from surrounding areas under stricter lockdowns. Properties in these locations also offer comparatively more affordable room rates than in the traditionally popular travel markets. This appeals to travelers who may have a tighter budget due to the pandemic.

Loading Demand In Smaller Markets Less Impaired By The Health Crisis

Hotels along interstates and in small metros/towns outperformed their counterparts in resort destinations and urban settings. The average occupancy for hotels along interstates and in small metros in 2020 was 45 percent and 44 percent, respectively, each down from 58 percent in the previous year. Comparatively, average occupancy for urban hotels fell from 73 percent in 2019 to 37 percent last year, and the same measure for resort hotels dropped to 42 percent from 70 percent.

Interstate-Small Town Resilience

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